The Gulf of Mexico has the largest dead zone in the United States and the second-largest in the world. Dead zones form when excessive amounts of nitrogen and phosphorous wash into waterways and spur algal blooms, depleting the water of oxygen and killing fish, shrimp, and other marine life. The Gulf of Mexico dead zone can range between an astounding 3,000 and 8,000 square miles. At its largest, it’s about the size of Massachusetts.
Reducing this growing dead zone problem is a huge scientific, technical, economic, and political challenge. It’s a conundrum that agricultural and environmental experts from across the United States will deliberate this week at the Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Task Force meeting in Louisville, Kentucky.
Most nitrogen and phosphorous pollution comes from farm fertilizers and animal manure, sewage treatment plants, industrial facilities, and urban and suburban runoff. Curbing nutrient pollution from these sources would go a long way toward curbing dead zones.
Nutrient trading helps to do just that by identifying the most cost-effective nutrient reductions possible to achieve specific local or regional water quality goals. As a voluntary market-based mechanism, trading helps regulated facilities (e.g., sewage treatment plants and industrial firms) find the cheapest way to satisfy nutrient pollution limits. Because all facilities are different, some will be able to install onsite technology upgrades at a lower cost than others to meet their nutrient reduction requirements. Unregulated farmers may also be able to voluntarily participate if installing conservation practices to reduce nutrient loads occurs at a lower cost than the regulated facilities’ cost. These facilities or farmers with low treatment costs can sell excess reductions, or nutrient credits, to the regulated facilities that face very costly upgrades.
Thus, nutrient trading offers a triple-win solution: Progress is made toward achieving the trading program’s water quality goal; credit buyers spend less on credits than they would spend on costly technological upgrades; and credit sellers make money for their extra pollution-reduction efforts.
Nutrient Trading in the Gulf of Mexico
Currently the Mississippi River Basin, a main tributary to the Gulf of Mexico, lacks a nutrient trading program. WRI recently used a hypothetical case study approach to assess the economic feasibility of using voluntary nutrient trading in this region. We found that it could serve as a cost-effective way to shrink the Gulf’s dead zone.
Some of our specific findings include:
Various farm conservation practices such as nutrient management and soil erosion control cost significantly less to reduce nutrients than the practices used by sewage treatment plants. This large cost differential between point (sewage plants) and nonpoint sources (farm fields) makes nutrient trading a cost-effective approach to achieving cleaner water in the Gulf.
Nutrient trading could be a financial win-win for both sewage treatment plants and farmers. Our case study’s two sewage treatment plants could save about $900 million in meeting their pollution reduction goals, while the study’s farm sector could make $700 million in profits over 20 years.
Some nutrient-reduction practices could generate additional revenue for farmers in the form of reduced fertilizer bills and increased crop yields--even before any credits were hypothetically sold.
On a per acre basis, farmers could make between $25 and $60 per acre in profit from selling credits to sewage treatment plants (depending on credit prices and trading program rules). Such profits could be made on about 12 percent to 40 percent of the study’s crop fields.
A Pathway for Trading Nutrients
While nutrient trading could be a promising tool in the toolbox of solutions to shrink dead zones, it won’t happen on its own. Currently there is no nutrient reduction goal for the Gulf to serve as a policy driver for a nutrient trading program. We would first need this goal before there can be a real demand for nutrient trading.
Until such a driver materializes, several states in the Mississippi River Basin are developing voluntary State Nutrient Reduction Strategies. Nutrient trading could be included as part of these states’ plans to help achieve local water quality goals.
There are no silver bullets when it comes to dead zones. Nutrient trading programs can help alleviate some of the problem, but all major stakeholders in the Gulf of Mexico’s watersheds--sewage treatment plants, industrial firms, the farming community, and city and suburban communities--have to agree to work together to improve water quality. A robust suite of tools--including nutrient trading--is one way to ensure that dead zones truly die off.