The most recent global survey of tree cover released by Global Forest Watch revealed a worrying panorama: The world lost 3.6 million hectares (8.9 million acres) of old-growth rainforest in 2018, an area the size of Belgium. But one country stood out as a success story: Indonesia reported a notable reduction in forest loss for the second year in a row. While absolute forest loss remains high (340,000 hectares/840,000 acres in 2018), the direction of travel appears unmistakable. Indonesia's success is in part due to the robust measures President Jokowi's government has put in place, including temporary bans on further expansion of oil palm plantations into forests and peatlands.
The Government of Indonesia's Low Carbon Development Initiative (LCDI) – led by Professor Dr. Bambang Brodjonegoro at Bappenas, the National Planning Ministry – recently found that the country could reduce its greenhouse gas emissions 43% by 2030, while still growing its gross domestic product 6% per year until 2045. Indonesia cannot reach this low-carbon future without a commitment to its forests: Forest loss and land use change account for as much as 55% of the country's greenhouse gas emissions. To achieve the ambitious scenario laid out by the LCDI, Indonesia needs to restore 1 million hectares of degraded land to forest every year until 2024.
The LCDI sets out five paths by which the forests of Indonesia might be protected and restored over time:
1. Extend Indonesia's forest and peatland moratorium.
First, the Indonesian government can permanently extend its moratoriums, or bans, on oil palm and other agricultural expansion into areas of primary forest and peatland. These moratoriums are an essential and proven first step to ensuring the LCDI's emissions-reduction goals are met. Between 2016 and 2017, primary forest loss in protected peatlands went down by 88%, to the lowest level ever recorded.
3. Use new financial models for conservation and restoration.
Third, finance needs to flow to the provinces and districts where forests most need to be protected and restored. In part, this could be achieved through an "ecological fiscal transfer" scheme, such as one pioneered in India. There, the national government rewards states with high forest cover for maintaining their forests. Dozens of forest-rich districts in Indonesia called on the government last year to establish a similar mechanism. Redirected or repurposed agricultural subsidies could also play a role here, by being more explicitly tied to public-goods outcomes such as area of forest protected or under restoration.
4. Improve agricultural value chains and reduce food loss and waste.
Fourth, Indonesian agricultural value chains can be made more productive and equitable by improving infrastructure and farmers' access to markets. This can lead to better incomes for smallholder farmers and reduce food loss and waste (including vegetables and fish). More productive and well-trained farmers are also more likely to pursue more sustainable and resilient farming practices, thereby positioning Indonesia as a supplier of sustainable commodities, legal timber and emissions reductions.
Healthier Forests & a Brighter Future for Indonesians
Indonesia has an excellent opportunity to build on its considerable progress in reducing deforestation, restoring degraded forests and delivering a more sustainable food and land use system. In so doing, the country can be a notable example of leadership to the world. The Food and Land Use Coalition, a global initiative to transform the world's food and land use systems, already recognizes Indonesia as a pioneer country. And as a result of the LCDI, these five recommendations are expected to inform the government's food and land use policy as part of the forthcoming national and sub-national development planning process.
With further commitment and action on these five steps, there is still a bright future for Indonesia's forests – and for all Indonesia's people who depend on them.