Emission Reductions Under Congress' Cap & Trade Proposals

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New analysis compares emissions reductions in the current Kerry-Boxer and Waxman-Markey bills.

WRI has released a new assessment of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions that could be achieved under the proposals currently under consideration in the 111th Congress. This assessment is an update to a previous analysis WRI released on June 25, 2009 and includes an assessment comparing the Manager’s Amendment to S.1733 the Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act (CEJAPA) sponsored by Senators Kerry and Boxer and H.R. 2454 the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (ACESA) passed by the House of Representatives on June 26, 2009.

Key Findings

  • The emissions caps in the CEJAPA and ACESA achieve reductions of 17 and 14 percent respectively relative to 2005 levels in 2020. By 2050, both the CEJAPA and ACESA achieve reductions of 72 percent relative to 2005 levels.
  • Estimates of total US emissions in 2012 under the emissions caps in both the CEJAPA and ACESA are approximately 300 million tonnes higher than recent short-term projections of U.S. emissions for 2010 published by the Energy Information Administration.
  • While the CEJAPA and ACESA contain similar complementary measures in addition to emissions caps, they are sometimes applied in different ways and in turn result in somewhat different relative emission reductions. Specifically:
    • When all complementary requirements are considered in addition to the caps, GHG emissions would be reduced 29 and 28 percent relative to 2005 levels by 2020 and 73 and 75 percent relative to 2005 levels by 2050 for the CEJAPA and ACESA respectively.
    • When additional potential emission reductions are considered, the CEJAPA and ACESA could achieve up to 34 and 33 percent relative to 2005 levels by 2020 and up to 78 and 81 percent relative to 2005 levels by 2050 respectively. The actual amount of reductions will depend on the quantity and quality of international offsets used for compliance and the effectiveness of supplemental reduction programs that do not explicitly contain GHG reduction requirements.

“Emission Reductions Under Cap-and-Trade Proposals in the 111th Congress, 2005-2050” graphically presents total GHG reductions achieved by S.1733 and H.R.2454 relative to U.S. historic and projected emissions under the three reduction scenarios:

The complete analysis, including a full description of the methods and assumptions, is available here: Emissions Reductions Under Cap and Trade Proposals in the 111th Congress.

  • John Larsen, Senior Associate

    John Larsen is an expert on federal climate and energy policy, currently on detail at the U.S. Department of Energy.

3 Comments

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Read "State of Fear" by

Read "State of Fear" by Michael Crichton

Get the other side of the story.

Global Warming ....because of man.....equals big money........money
that could be spent to aid many many other real problems.

Um, last I checked, Michael

Um, last I checked, Michael Crichton wrote fiction, and his objective wasn't science or policy, it was selling books.

Think again.

PERSONA A PERSONA

PERSONA A PERSONA

SOLICITA. Declarar intangibles los bosques del
mundo y estimular la reforestación.

SEÑOR PRESIDENTE DE LA ORGANIZACIÓN DE LAS NACIONES UNIDAS
.
GODOFREDO ARAUZO CHUCO de 76 años de edad, médico-cirujano, investigador del medio ambiente, domiciliado en Montero Rosas 203 El Tambo Huancayo Perú y con
DNI 22962962 me presento a Ud. y expongo:

El mundo está sufriendo el calentamiento global por el efecto invernadero de los gases: dióxido de carbono (CO2), metano (CH4), óxidos de nitrógeno (NOx) ozono (03), clorofluorocarbonos (CFCls) y el vapor de agua (H2O); eliminados principalmente por los países industrializados; hace décadas. EEUU elimina el 25% del SO2 principal agente invernadero y se niega a firmar el protocolo de Kyoto. El calentamiento del planeta tierra está ocasionando alteraciones de los recursos hídricos superficiales y profundos, los suelos y la atmósfera, las biodiversidades, los ecosistemas y trastornos socioeconómicos marcados especialmente en los países subdesarrollados, también son afectados los microorganismos que son vitales para la supervivencia del hombre en la tierra
Los árboles juegan un papel importante en el amortiguamiento del calentamiento de la tierra; para su proceso de fotosíntesis consumen CO2 y fabrican el oxígeno (O) y son formadores de agua para el hombre, los animales, suelos y humedades. Un árbol produce por día: 400 litros de oxígeno y evapora 6 litros de agua, filtra por año: 7,000 kilos de polvo y tóxicos y consume 6 kilogramos de CO2..
Por las razones expuestas solicito que la Organización de las Naciones Unidas declare intangibles los bosques de todo el mundo, para amenguar y retardar el calentamiento global mundial que será irreversible sí no se toman medidas inmediatas y estimular la reforestación a nivel planetario
Con la seguridad de tomar en cuenta esta sugerencia. me subscribo de Ud. muy atentamente

Huancayo PERÜ 14 de Mayo del 2009.

Dr. Godofredo Arauzo

Email. godo_ara@hotmail.com